Wednesday, June 1, 2011

Atlantic Hurricane Season 2011 is here!

It has begun. Atlantic Hurricane Season has officially started and already there are two disturbances brewing in the Atlantic. There is an area of weak low pressure, just to the north of Panama. This area of low pressure may develop into a tropical depression within the next couple of days as the wind shear weakens. The second is a cluster of thunderstorms off the northeastern coast of Florida, which is moving westward into the state. This system will mostly likely not develop into a tropical depression but will bring heavy rain and gusty winds to parts of northern Florida later today.

Below are the list of names for the 2011 Atlantic storms:

ArleneBretCindyDonEmilyFranklin
GertHarveyIreneJoseKatiaLee
MariaNateOpheliaPhilippeRinaSean
TammyVinceWhitney


Earlier this year, NOAA released their predictions of the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season. In the report, NOAA is predicting a more active season, as well as more US landfalls. The average number of tropical storms for a season is 10. NOAA is predicting 12 to 18. For hurricanes the average is 6 and NOAA is predicting 6 to 10. In regards to major hurricanes, the average is 2 while NOAA this year is predicting 3 to 6. Accuweather.com also reported their predictions, stating 15 tropical storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes.

Last year was historic with 19 named storms, 12 hurricanes and 5 major hurricanes. 2010 predictions were 11-16 named storms, 6-8 hurricanes and 3-5 major hurricanes. The season ranked as the third most active on record, though little of these storms impacted the United States coastline.

Here is a season forecast from Accuweather.com:

You can see that Texas, Mexico and parts of South America are predicted to have hurricanes, early in the season, while areas in the southern United States and towards the New England region will be seeing hurricanes mid to late in the season.

My prediction, I agree that this season be active and that there will be more US landfalls.

For more info on the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season, check here.

Oh and the Atlantic Hurricane Season ends on November 30. This is the same day as the end of the Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season, which started May 15.

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